What does all this mean for the Cuban people? 

Additional aggression by the United States to militarily or otherwise intervene in Cuba will cause an enormous  tear in the fabric of Cuban civil society; cut essential services on which the majority of the Cuban population  depend; devastate the growing private sector’s ability to function and to import goods; and result in an  enormous wave of uncontrollable irregular migration to our southern borders. 

• Cuba is currently experiencing its worst humanitarian and economic crisis in decades, with deep food and  medicine scarcity, lack of resources and capacity in the health care sector, and wide-spread energy deficits  that have led to daily electricity black-outs up to 20 hours in some provinces. 
• While many blame the Cuban government for delayed implementation of economic reform and ill-designed  economic policies, the majority of the Cuban population recognizes US economic, financial and commercial  unilateral coercive measures against Cuba as the main cause of the current crisis. The vast majority of Cubans  in the island would oppose and mobilize against any type of US intervention, and Cuba’s fragile domestic  opposition would have a much harder time winning sympathizers.  
• Any further disruption to Cuba’s aging energy system– including cutting off oil shipments from Venezuela – will only cause further suffering as people struggle with spoiling food, reduced access to transportation,  healthcare, education, and economic activity that is inevitably affected by the lack of electricity. 
• Cuba’s growing private sector, which constitutes nearly half of the economy, heavily depends on imports, thus  a military intervention would force the majority to close. 
• Any further aggression by the U.S. in Cuba would exacerbate or destroy the delicate telecommunications  infrastructure which enables private economic activity. In addition, that is the primary means of Cubans  communicating with their relatives abroad, since the Trump administration extended his travel ban and has  suspended all legal forms of entering the United States6 .
• Military intervention or otherwise in Cuba by the United States will likely provoke further irregular migration,  placing the lives of Cubans in serious danger given it is an island nation with no land routes for migration.