US-Cuba Policy Highlights
Issue No. 30 - August 2026
In this newsletter:
ACERE Policy Insight
A Turning Point toward Domestic Enforcement of Cuba Policy?
- ACERE Activities
ACERE Action Alert— Tell the Trump Administration to Choose Diplomacy over War in Cuba Take Action Now and Distribute Widely
- ACERE Statement— ACERE Condemns Trump & Rubio’s Cuba-bound Cargo Blockade Read the ACERE Statement
- ACERE Statement— ACERE Alerts Hostilities Against Cuba Have Already Started Read the ACERE Statement
- US-Cuba Policy News
- U.S. ramps up Cuba sanctions and detentions of Americans returning from the island
- U.S. Sanctions on Cuba: Could They Force Regime Change?
- With talks between Cuba and U.S. stalled, prospects for regime change fade
- “No escape:” Inside Rubio’s Cuba pressure campaign
- UN rights experts urge action to avert ‘silent Gaza’ in Cuba
- U.S. sends more intel assets to Cuba
- News from Cuba
- ‘Cuba is opening up.’ Reforms begin as US tightens grip
- Cuba says U.S. sanctions are blocking its efforts to open the economy to private investment
- U.S. fuel exports to Cuba spur chaotic black market
- Cuba Is Low on Oil. Now, It’s Counting on Solar, With China’s Help
- Cubans sleep on Havana’s seaside boulevard to seek relief from crippling blackouts and summer heat
- Recommended Media
Historian Grades Marco Rubio’s State Department Report on Cuba
Ever wonder WHY Cuba is so poor?
The war in Cuba has already begun
Cuba after Six Months of the Oil Blockade: Crisis and the Road to Recovery
Is Cuba Nearing an Inflection Point?
Cuba: Independent experts condemn new US sanctions as humanitarian crisis deepens
- Post of the Month
- Senator Chris Van Hollen on X
ACERE Policy Insight
A Turning Point toward Domestic Enforcement of Cuba Policy?
On August 20, the Treasury and State Departments sanctioned nine Cuban state-owned mining, metals, and construction companies alongside the leadership of the Cuban Institute of Friendship with the Peoples (Instituto Cubano de Amistad con los Pueblos— ICAP).[1] Simultaneously, around a dozen people were detained — later released and allowed to enter — when they returned to the United States from solidarity related activities in Cuba, broadening enforcement of the latest Cuba-related executive measures.[2]
ICAP, founded in 1960, is Cuba’s principal channel for people-to-people diplomacy: it partners with friendship associations, volunteer work brigades, and cultural exchange organizations, linking Cuba to solidarity movements across the world. It has historically served as the coordinating partner for U.S. groups seeking exchanges or humanitarian projects with the island. What distinguishes the August 20 executive action from the string of ever growing coercive measures issued by the Trump administration throughout 2026 is its explicit domestic component: Secretary of State Marco Rubio accused ICAP of running “a vast subversive network in the United States aimed at identifying, cultivating, and radicalizing” American citizens — a claim that targets not just a Cuban institution but the global infrastructure of civilian solidarity built around it, as well as any international trade or investment.[3]
This operationalizes the ideological framework the administration laid out a month earlier in the State Department’s “Cuba: The Capital of 21st Century Communism” report, which using sweeping, unsubstantiated —or simply false— national security claims to justify an unprecedented escalation of its campaign against Cuba, argued that Cuba had spent decades cultivating influence over American activist movements.[4] By naming ICAP’s president, Fernando González Llort — a former Cuban intelligence officer who, as part of the “Wasp network” was convicted for infiltrating Cuban American terrorist organizations in South Florida — and its vice-president and North America director, the administration converted a rhetorical narrative into an active enforcement target. Because ICAP is the institutional hub through which foreign solidarity brigades, aid convoys, and friendship associations coordinate their activities inside Cuba, sanctioning its leadership, this latest measure is also, functionally, an attempt to disrupt the very networks that have helped the island absorb the shock of the expanding U.S. blockade.[5]
For Cubans, the immediate effect compounds an already severe economic siege: nine more state-owned enterprises that represent revenue sources and services to the private sector are now also subject of secondary sanctions, deepening an economy already reeling from an U.S. extraterritorial oil blockade and secondary sanctions that has produced six nationwide blackouts this year and a sharp increase in preventable deaths.[6] Yet it is precisely because of this siege that international solidarity has become a lifeline rather than a symbolic gesture. Since the fuel blockade began, movements coordinated in part through ICAP and allied organizations have delivered concrete material relief: Mexican solidarity campaigns collected over 226 tons of food and medicine delivered by naval vessel, the Nuestra América Convoy brought more than 20 tons of food, medicine, and solar equipment from Europe and Latin America in March, and China has stepped up solar panel shipments while La Via Campesina’s 180 member organizations launched a global fundraising campaign for humanitarian aid. These efforts, organizers argue, form a continuous tradition of transnational solidarity — comparable to anti-apartheid and Gaza flotilla movements — aimed at demonstrating to Cubans that “you are not alone” under what participants describe as a siege, collective punishment, and violation of international law.[7]
For U.S. citizens and residents, the impact is more direct and legally consequential than is often discussed: the expanded enforcement targets any U.S. person or organization found dealing with the sanctioned entities or engaging with ICAP-linked networks, raising legal exposure for academics, faith-based groups, humanitarian organizations and travelers who have historically organized brigades, medical exchanges, or delegations through ICAP’s North America division. U.S. businesses and foreign banks with any indirect exposure to the designated companies — through supply chains, joint ventures, or financial services — face secondary sanctions risk, a liability that has already prompted firms like the Canadian mining Sherritt, Spanish hotel chains Melia and Iberostar, and French shipping CMA CGM to exit Cuban ventures and operations earlier in the year.[8] U.S. organizations that have organized humanitarian aid convoys in Cuba have also found themselves rhetorically implicated in the administration’s subversion narrative, illustrating how the policy’s domestic reach extends beyond formal sanctions into the ideological, political and humanitarian-aid sphere.
Given this focus, the Trump administration’s August 20 action is best understood not as an isolated designation but as the moment the administration’s Cuba strategy visibly turned inward — pairing continued economic strangulation of the island with an enforcement posture aimed at those subject to U.S. jurisdiction, organizations, and the international solidarity infrastructure that has functioned as one of Cuba’s few remaining survival options. Whether this expands into broader prosecutions of U.S. citizens and NGOs, or chills the flow of humanitarian aid channeled through ICAP’s civilian-led networks, will likely determine whether August 2026 is remembered as the point at which Washington’s siege strategy began turning inwards to further serve extremist —many times violent— and irrational positions that dominate in parts of Florida and run counter to American values, democratic traditions, and national security interests.
Notes
[2] “US ramps up Cuba sanctions and detentions of Americans returning from the island,” Associated Press (via Washington Post), August 20, 2026, https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/08/20/us-cuba-sanctions-rubio-castro/a3af2c8a-9cbb-11f1-9cc4-2dc9b46e2d5c_story.html
[3] “What Is The U.S. State Department’s Cuba Report Really About? ‘Cuba, the Capital of 21st Century Communism,'” Global Research, July 2026, https://www.globalresearch.ca/state-department-cuba-report/5935285
[4] “ACERE Warns the Trump Administration is Using False Claims to Justify Military Action Against Cuba,” ACERE, July 20, 2026, https://acere.org/acere-warns-the-trump-administration-is-using-false-claims-to-justify-military-action-against-cuba/ ; “The Threat to U.S. National Security Is Not Cuba, But Our Cuba Policy,” ACERE, July 28, 2026, https://acere.org/threat-is-cuba-policy/
[5] “Trump’s Cuba Sanctions Target Solidarity Groups and Foreign Investors,” Belly of the Beast, August 27, 2026. https://www.bellyofthebeastcuba.com/news/trumps-cuba-sanctions-target-solidarity-groups-and-foreign-investors
[6] “US pummels Cuban economy with new sanctions on mining, construction,” Al Jazeera, August 20, 2026, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/20/us-pummels-cuban-economy-with-new-sanctions-on-mining-construction ; “ACERE Demands, After Six Months of Oil Blockade, It’s Time to Engage,” ACERE, June 29, 2026, https://acere.org/acere-demands-after-six-months-of-oil-blockade-its-time-to-engage/
[7] “Nuestra América Convoy,” Wikipedia, n.d., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuestra_Am%C3%A9rica_Convoy ; “Solidarity with Cuba Takes Off in Latin America,” World-Outlook, March 2, 2026, https://world-outlook.com/2026/02/27/solidarity-with-cuba-takes-off-in-latin-america/ ; “Cuba: The Power of Global Solidarity will Defeat the Blockade. Take Action, NOW!,” La Via Campesina, May 28, 2026, https://viacampesina.org/en/cuba-solidarity-2026/
[8] “ACERE Condemns Trump & Rubio’s Cuba-bound Cargo Blockade,” ACERE, August 24, 2026, https://acere.org/cuba-bound-cargo-blockade/
ACERE Activities
ACERE Action Alert– Tell the Trump Administration to Choose Diplomacy over War in Cuba |
There are mounting indications that the Trump administration may be preparing for military action against Cuba, with reported options ranging from targeted missile and drone strikes to a larger-scale air assault involving thousands of U.S. troops. After more than seven months of a fuel blockade and a de facto international cargo blockade since May—following the Trump administration’s unprecedented expansion of extraterritorial secondary sanctions— on top of six decades of embargo, ordinary Cubans are facing a deep humanitarian crisis marked by prolonged blackouts, shortages of food, medicines, electricity, and clean water, and the continued deterioration of essential public services that has resulted in a sharp increase of preventable deaths. This devastating situation must not be used to justify a military action disguised as a humanitarian intervention. TAKE ACTION NOW by adding your signature (if applicable; if not, please help spread the word) to a letter to be sent to the Trump administration urging it to stop the siege of Cuba, present the evidence behind its extraordinary national security claims or withdraw the baseless allegations; and choose diplomacy and serious negotiations over another unnecessary war. Take Action Now and Distribute Widely. |
ACERE warns that the Trump administration has already crossed the threshold into “hostilities against Cuba,” combining an expanding economic and energy blockade, sweeping secondary sanctions, military pressure on fuel shipments, and repeated threats of military intervention in ways that raise serious constitutional and international legal concerns. This “pressure” campaign has evolved beyond ordinary sanctions into an undeclared conflict that is inflicting severe humanitarian and economic harm on the Cuban people while challenging the constitutional limits on presidential war powers. ACERE calls on Congress to recognize the administration’s current military and economic campaign for what it is: an escalation toward—and, in important respects, an exercise of—hostilities against another sovereign state without a congressional authorization for war. The time for Congress to stop this war is not after military strikes begin. It is now. Read the ACERE Statement
ACERE condemns the Trump administration’s expansion of its sanctions regime into a de facto blockade of Cuba’s international trade, as sweeping secondary sanctions have driven major shipping companies away from the island, disrupting up to 60 percent of its container shipping and leaving more than 7,000 containers of legally purchased food, medicines, humanitarian supplies, and productive inputs stranded in foreign ports. By deterring third-country carriers from transporting even non-prohibited goods, these measures are deepening Cuba’s humanitarian crisis, harming private businesses and ordinary citizens, and effectively extending the January fuel blockade into a broader campaign of economic warfare against the Cuban people. ACERE urges the Trump administration to lift the fuel blockade and other broad coercive measures that are obstructing lawful commercial and humanitarian trade, and engage directly with the Cuban government to resolve bilateral differences through diplomacy rather than economic strangulation. Read the ACERE Statement
US-Cuba Policy News
The views and opinions expressed by authors are their own and articles do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of ACERE.
U.S. ramps up Cuba sanctions and detentions of Americans returning from the island — The Washington Post (Associated Press), August 20
The Trump administration announced sanctions on nine Cuban mining, metals and construction companies and three Cuban Institute of Friendship with the Peoples (ICAP) officials while U.S. authorities also detained and questioned Americans returning from Cuba and seized some of their electronic devices. The actions demonstrate an increasingly expansive Cuba policy that combines economic sanctions, restrictions on Americans’ dealings with Cuban state entities and intensified enforcement, alongside threats of possible military intervention. The pressure is worsening Cuba’s economic and humanitarian crisis through blackouts, transportation disruptions, medicine shortages and declining tourism; while the new enforcement measures create additional risks for Americans who travel to or engage with Cuba. https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/08/20/us-cuba-sanctions-rubio-castro/a3af2c8a-9cbb-11f1-9cc4-2dc9b46e2d5c_story.html
U.S. Sanctions on Cuba: Could They Force Regime Change? — Bloomberg, August 13
The central policy question is whether Washington’s intensified sanctions strategy can achieve its apparent objective of weakening or replacing the Cuban government, or whether decades of similar pressure have failed to produce that outcome. Continued economic pressure risks deepening hardship for ordinary Cubans while also affecting U.S. businesses, travelers and families with ties to the island, raising questions about the humanitarian and political costs of pursuing regime change through sanctions. Cuba’s foreign minister called the sanctions “genocidal” after the country’s fourth blackout in a month, framing the debate over whether the strategy is achieving its stated aims or simply deepening suffering without political payoff. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-13/us-sanctions-on-cuba-could-they-force-regime-change
With talks between Cuba and U.S. stalled, prospects for regime change fade — Miami Herald, August 19
Seven months after President Trump predicted Cuba would “fall,” the Cuban government remains firmly in control despite unprecedented U.S. sanctions, fuel blockade, and other pressure that has not produced the sort of mass demonstrations that may trigger a U.S. intervention. Expectations of imminent regime change have diminished as the administration’s attention shifts to Iran, Venezuela, and U.S. midterm elections. Negotiations between Washington and Havana appear stalled, but Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the pressure campaign for the remainder of Trump’s term. The prolonged pressure is contributing to severe shortages, energy insecurity and migration pressures in Cuba; while there is growing disappointment among Cuban Americans who expected rapid political change, and growing worries about the consequences of further state breakdown for stability and prosperity in Cuba. https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/cuba/article316926301.html
“No escape:” Inside Rubio’s Cuba pressure campaign— Axios, August 7
Secretary of State Marco Rubio says the Trump administration is pursuing an unprecedented pressure campaign against Cuba, with two dozen separate coercive measures targeting Cuban and foreign entities, individuals, and sources of revenue taken since last year. The administration sustained economic pressure, which has intensified Cuba’s social and economic distress, is presented as a way to prevent Cuba from evading sanctions and force political and economic change, while keeping military action as a possibility. “What we’re trying to teach them is there are no escape valves,” Rubio told Axios, while also lowering expectations— “My level of confidence is that when this administration is over, at a minimum, Cuba will be on an irreversible glide path toward a different future.” https://www.axios.com/2026/08/07/marco-rubio-cuba-pressure-campaign
UN rights experts urge action to avert ‘silent Gaza’ in Cuba— Reuters, August 6
United Nations human rights experts condemned recent U.S. measures against Cuba, warning that restrictions on access to food, fuel, and other essential goods could trigger a humanitarian catastrophe comparable to a “silent Gaza” and urging the international community to act. The statement increases international scrutiny of the Trump administration’s Cuba policy and adds pressure on Washington over the humanitarian consequences of its sanctions and fuel blockade. Continued deterioration in living conditions could deepen hardship for Cubans while increasing migration pressures and complicating U.S. efforts to balance its policy objectives with humanitarian and regional stability concerns. https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/un-rights-experts-urge-action-avert-silent-gaza-cuba-2026-08-06/
U.S. sends more intel assets to Cuba— Politico, August 4
The Trump administration has increased U.S. intelligence operations in Cuba as part of a broader campaign to pressure the Cuban government to implement major reforms or risk losing power, with officials suggesting intelligence efforts could support diplomatic, covert, or even military options. The development signals a further escalation of U.S. policy beyond economic sanctions and the fuel blockade, reinforcing a strategy of maximum pressure while keeping more forceful measures on the table. Heightened tensions could increase uncertainty for Americans by raising the risk of confrontation and migration pressures, while Cubans face the prospect of greater political instability and continued economic hardship. https://www.politico.com/news/2026/08/04/us-sends-more-intel-assets-to-cuba-01023267
News from Cuba
The views and opinions expressed by authors are their own and articles do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of ACERE.
‘Cuba is opening up.’ Reforms begin as US tightens grip—USA Today, August 30
Cuba is beginning to implement major economic reforms, including allowing private companies to trade directly with foreign firms, easing restrictions on foreign investment, and reducing the state’s role in hiring workers, as Deputy Foreign Trade Minister Carlos Luis Jorge Méndez insists the changes are permanent. The reforms address long-standing U.S. demands for greater private enterprise and foreign investment, but their implementation comes as direct U.S.-Cuba talks remain stalled and the Trump administration continues to tighten sanctions and its oil blockade.
The changes could expand opportunities for U.S. businesses and investors if bilateral relations improve, while offering Cubans greater private-sector opportunities even as the ongoing sanctions and energy crisis continue to fuel shortages and economic hardship. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2026/08/30/cuba-economic-reforms-law-exclusive/91529744007/
Cuba says U.S. sanctions are blocking its efforts to open the economy to private investment—The Associated Press, August 21
Cuba’s ambassador to the United Nations argues that the government’s recent market-oriented reforms are intended to attract private and foreign investment, but escalating U.S. sanctions and the fuel blockade are discouraging investors, worsening the island’s economic crisis, and undermining the reforms’ chances of success. The piece highlights the central policy debate over whether Washington’s strategy of increasing sanctions will accelerate political change or instead impede the very economic liberalization the United States has long encouraged. Continued sanctions are deepening shortages and blackouts for Cubans while limiting commercial opportunities for U.S. businesses and reinforcing migration and regional stability challenges that affect both countries. https://apnews.com/article/cuba-us-sanctions-economy-reform-investment-65b19b9e3abf8a14945e4510c9557f83
U.S. fuel exports to Cuba spur chaotic black market —Reuters, August 11
U.S. exemption allowing fuel exports to Cuba’s private sector has created a growing black market, providing limited relief from the island’s energy crisis while deepening economic inequality. The piece highlights a contradiction in U.S. policy: while Washington’s fuel blockade is crippling Cuba’s state-run economy, it is simultaneously encouraging private-sector activity and market reforms by permitting restricted fuel sales to private businesses. Expensive imported fuel helps some Cuban businesses and creates opportunities for U.S. exporters, but most Cubans remain unable to afford it, worsening disparities while shortages of electricity, transportation, and essential public services continue. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-fuel-sales-cuban-business-bring-glimpse-capitalism-havana-2026-08-11/
Cuba Is Low on Oil. Now, It’s Counting on Solar, With China’s Help — The Walt Street Journal, August 8
Cuba is rapidly expanding solar power with Chinese financing and equipment to reduce chronic electricity shortages: solar now meets about 10% of the nation’s power needs, up from 3% at the beginning of last year, and new solar parks and battery storage to be installed in the next years should contribute one-third of the country’s typical peak demand. The new capacity has not been enough to overcome severe fuel shortages resulting from the U.S. fuel blockade. The developments highlight how the Trump administration’s fuel restrictions are accelerating Cuba’s search for alternative energy partners, particularly China, while the growing Chinese role in Cuba’s energy sector might present a strategic challenge for U.S. influence in the Caribbean.
https://www.wsj.com/world/china/cuba-china-solar-power-da5b3338
Cubans sleep on Havana’s seaside boulevard to seek relief from crippling blackouts and summer heat — Associated Press (via PBS News), August 3
The piece frames the sixth island-wide blackout of the year as a direct consequence of the U.S. cutting off Cuba’s main oil supply in January, describing the country as being in “free-fall.” With no air conditioning or relief at home, Cubans like a 30-year-old construction worker are sleeping outdoors on the Malecón seawall just to escape the heat during extended power outages. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/cubans-seek-relief-from-crippling-blackouts-and-summer-heat.
Recommended Media
The views and opinions expressed by authors are their own and articles do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of ACERE.
Historian Grades Marco Rubio’s State Department Report on Cuba — Belly of the Beast, August 27
Belly of the Beast reports that historian Teishan Latner, whose research on Cuba–U.S. solidarity movements was cited or echoed in the State Department’s July 2026 report Cuba: The Capital of 21st Century Communism, argues that the report recycles discredited Cold War-era FBI and CIA allegations without credible evidence. Latner contends there is no evidence that Cuban solidarity brigades served as a recruitment pipeline for Cuban intelligence and says the report would receive a poor academic grade because of its weak evidentiary basis. He argues that the report’s primary significance is political by serving to justify a tougher U.S. policy toward Cuba while providing a rationale for increased scrutiny of progressive organizations and activists. https://www.bellyofthebeastcuba.com/news/historian-grades-marco-rubios-state-department-report-on-cuba
Ever wonder WHY Cuba is so poor? — Hasan Minhaj, August 26
Former Deputy National Security Advisor Ben Rhodes argued on the podcast that U.S. sanctions and trade embargoes are primarily responsible for the economic suffering and poverty in Cuba, rather than internal communist mismanagement. Rhodes detailed how U.S. financial blockades restrict Cuba from global banking systems and dollar transactions, effectively paralyzing the island’s infrastructure and private sector growth, and negatively impacting ordinary Cubans’ daily life. “We are starving people to death right now,” he stressed. https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Qu3vuM96VdA
The war in Cuba has already begun — The Hill, August 14
Lee Schlenker, research associate with the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, argues that the Trump administration’s fuel blockade and sanctions already amount to a war against Cuba and urges the Senate to advance a War Powers Resolution introduced by Senators Tim Kaine, Adam Schiff, and Ruben Gallego to prevent unauthorized military action. The piece argues that congressional action is necessary to restrain the administration’s regime-change policy, preserve Congress’s constitutional authority over military action, and create space for a negotiated U.S.-Cuba solution rather than further escalation. Schlenker warns that military intervention could endanger U.S. service members, trigger a major migration crisis and further destabilize Cuba, while continued economic pressure is already contributing to severe shortages and humanitarian suffering on the island. https://thehill.com/opinion/international/6027922-senate-cuba-war-powers-resolution
Cuba after Six Months of the Oil Blockade: Crisis and the Road to Recovery — CounterPunch, August 14
This assessment of six months under the U.S. oil blockade catalogs the policy’s structural effects on Cuba’s energy, health, and food systems, and proposes an alternative path built on a UN-monitored humanitarian fuel corridor rather than continued economic pressure. It identifies rural communities, people with disabilities, and patients needing refrigerated medicines as the “central victims” of the policy, explicitly arguing that ordinary Cubans — not the government — bear the cost. https://www.counterpunch.org/2026/08/14/cuba-after-six-months-of-the-oil-blockade-crisis-and-the-road-to-recovery/
Is Cuba Nearing an Inflection Point? — CSIS, August 13
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) podcast, hosted by Will Todman alongside Christopher Hernandez-Roy and featuring William LeoGrande, examines the Trump administration’s intensified pressure campaign against Cuba, particularly the early-2026 fuel blockade, as part of a broader strategy to weaken the Cuban government’s economic and energy base. It also explores reported White House directives for U.S. intelligence agencies to identify potential post–Díaz-Canel leadership and debates whether U.S. policy is evolving from seeking outright regime change to managing a controlled political and economic transition. Finally, the speakers warn that worsening fuel shortages, nationwide blackouts, and infrastructure deterioration could trigger a humanitarian crisis and large-scale migration. https://www.csis.org/podcasts/state-play/cuba-nearing-inflection-point
Cuba: Independent experts condemn new US sanctions as humanitarian crisis deepens — UN News, August 6
Independent UN human rights experts publicly condemned Washington’s fresh round of US sanctions against Cuba, calling them an attempt to force change on “a sovereign State through threats and coercion,” adding international pushback against the Trump administration’s approach. The statement highlighted how the sanctions were disrupting energy, transport, and basic services even for humanitarian purposes, hitting women, children, and rural Cubans hardest. The Human Rights Council–appointed group of experts warned that without swift action from the international community and civil society, Cuba risks becoming a “silent Gaza.” https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/08/1168094
Tweet of the Month
Senator Chris Van Hollen (@ChrisVanHollen) on X: |
“Trump & Rubio’s blockade of Cuba has created a humanitarian crisis. They are “We must learn from six decades of failed Cuba policy. The blockade must end.” |